Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.238405 0.274373 0.313060 0.357665 0.407562 0.461553 0.524280
2025-12-28 0.185052 0.234439 0.291853 0.363076 0.448575 0.547399 0.669722
2026-01-04 0.147157 0.204215 0.275540 0.370133 0.491037 0.639045 0.832412
2026-01-11 0.115793 0.175605 0.255770 0.368960 0.522209 0.719754 0.990444
2026-01-18 0.092062 0.152145 0.238208 0.367046 0.550915 0.799179 1.154012
2026-01-25 0.073717 0.132451 0.222121 0.363946 0.576417 0.875621 1.319677
2026-02-01 0.059835 0.116580 0.208659 0.361987 0.602194 0.953600 1.493022
2026-02-08 0.048978 0.103278 0.196708 0.360045 0.626792 1.030901 1.670473
2026-02-15 0.039953 0.091145 0.184446 0.355395 0.645810 1.100430 1.840628
2026-02-22 0.034310 0.084108 0.179705 0.362305 0.683408 1.200503 2.063102
2026-03-01 0.028403 0.075120 0.169787 0.358501 0.702150 1.271468 2.244330
2026-03-08 0.024079 0.068477 0.163151 0.359512 0.728718 1.356303 2.452207
2026-03-15 0.019750 0.060802 0.153284 0.353342 0.742333 1.421418 2.633972
2026-03-22 0.017704 0.058213 0.153676 0.367321 0.794007 1.554779 2.937167
2026-03-29 0.015828 0.055584 0.153528 0.380107 0.844464 1.689279 3.250125
2026-04-05 0.013576 0.051277 0.148777 0.382530 0.874977 1.790234 3.511070
2026-04-12 0.011563 0.047049 0.143430 0.382862 0.901152 1.884746 3.765732
2026-04-19 0.009770 0.042922 0.137542 0.381109 0.922703 1.971783 4.011504
2026-04-26 0.008287 0.039305 0.132272 0.379997 0.945257 2.061787 4.267028
2026-05-03 0.007024 0.035998 0.127181 0.378560 0.966786 2.150849 4.525077
2026-05-10 0.005866 0.032625 0.121208 0.374076 0.981083 2.226406 4.761506
2026-05-17 0.005202 0.030992 0.120023 0.381532 1.022426 2.357593 5.108752
2026-05-24 0.004363 0.028225 0.114796 0.377706 1.037693 2.437117 5.361023